WN 1437 · DAL → PHX

departs 5:39 PM CT · arrives 6:17 PM MT

Your aircraft is N8722L (B38M), coming in as WN 2247 from MCO: landed 4:53 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

94% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

PHX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1437 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?