WN 1558 · DEN → BUR

departs 3:52 PM MT · arrives 5:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1558 · DEN → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?