WN 1599 · DEN → HOU

departs 4:11 PM MT · arrives 7:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,367 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1599 · DEN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?