Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 160
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 160 · ABQ → PHX
departs 5:27 PM MT · arrives 5:51 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 34%
Wed 11/4 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±8 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.