WN 1725 · DEN → STL

departs 4:50 PM MT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Your aircraft is N249WN (B737), coming in as WN 2878 from MDW: landed 4:08 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1725 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?