WN 1764 · DEN → AUS

departs 4:41 PM MT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Your aircraft is N9027S (B38M), coming in as WN 443 from BDL: landed 4:01 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,133 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1764 · DEN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?