WN 1898 · MCO → BNA

left the gate 7:18 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 7:02 PM ET → 8:08 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N205WN (B737), coming in as WN 4136 from STT: landed 5:48 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +70 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
83%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1898 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?