WN 1941 · SJC → BUR

departs 2:53 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SJC are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1941 · SJC → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?