WN 1948 · BHM → TPA

departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 7:57 PM ET

Your aircraft is N468WN (B737), coming in as WN 1948 from HOU: still at HOU, due off about 3:43 PM CT, 20 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1948 · BHM → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?