Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2072 · HOU → MAF
departs 11:44 AM CT · arrives 1:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.