Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Yesterday
WN 2073 · HOU → MAF
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
HOU usually runs smoothly
↓
MAF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,543 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.15 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.