Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2076 · HOU → MCI
departs 3:05 PM CT · arrives 5:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 20%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.