Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2089
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2089 · AUS → MDW
departs 1:04 PM CT · arrives 3:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 3.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.