Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2148 · ICT → PHX
departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 3:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±7 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.50 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.