Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2152 · MDW → ICT
departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 12:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.