Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2174 · IND → MCI
departs 2:54 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCI that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.