Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2220
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 2220 · MDW → ROC
departs 6:51 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM ET
Your aircraft is N475WN (B737), coming in as WN 548 from ROC: in the air, landing about 7:47 PM CT, 61 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 35%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
99%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 108 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 37%.
+4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 108 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 44%.
+9 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 108 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 6%.
+1 pt
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
ROC usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ROC (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.