Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2314
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2314 · LAS → LAX
departs 1:08 PM PT · arrives 2:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±9 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,400 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.