WN 2499 · RNO → LAS

departs 3:32 PM PT · arrives 5:00 PM PT

Your aircraft is N910WN (B737), coming in as WN 2385 from LAS: landed 3:34 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ RNO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2499 · RNO → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?