WN 2561 · LGB → LAS

departs 3:24 PM PT · arrives 4:35 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8917Q (B38M), coming in as WN 3035 from MDW: in the air, landing about 2:52 PM PT, 28 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ LGB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2561 · LGB → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?