Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2603
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2603 · MAF → HOU
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.53 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.