Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2639
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2639 · TUL → DEN
departs 1:39 PM CT · arrives 2:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.