WN 2648 · DEN → MCI

departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 7:07 PM CT

Your aircraft is N488WN (B737), coming in as WN 4184 from MSY: in the air, landing about 3:11 PM MT, 63 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2648 · DEN → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?