WN 2771 · ORF → MDW

departs 7:03 PM ET · arrives 8:25 PM CT

Your aircraft is N481WN (B737), coming in as WN 2771 from MCO: landed 6:37 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
49%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ORF that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2771 · ORF → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?