Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2796 · DAL → ABQ
departs 11:22 AM CT · arrives 12:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 14%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.