Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2799
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2799 · BOS → MDW
departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.