WN 2872 · MKE → STL

departs 5:54 PM CT · arrives 7:22 PM CT

Your aircraft is N241WN (B737), coming in as WN 1229 from DCA: landed 4:21 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2872 · MKE → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?