Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2885
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2885 · DAL → LIT
departs 3:51 PM CT · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,200 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
LIT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.