Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2891
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2891 · MDW → HOU
departs 3:37 PM CT · arrives 6:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
3pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.