Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 2924 · MDW → MCO
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 12:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.