Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2980
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 2980 · MDW → SAN
departs 2:54 PM CT · arrives 5:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 41%
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.