Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2991
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2991 · DAL → LBB
departs 12:48 PM CT · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,767 ft
Visibility 8.33333 mi
Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.