Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2992
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 2992 · ELP → HOU
departs 4:42 PM MT · arrives 7:44 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8305E (B738), coming in as WN 2042 from HOU: in the air, landing about 5:26 PM MT, 49 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 32%
Thu 11/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+37 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
94%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 91 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 63%.
+37 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 91 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 53%.
+21 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 104 min after the scheduled departure, about 91 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 21%.
+17 pts
94%
Yes 94%
No 6%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,267 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
ELP usually runs smoothly
↓
HOU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.01 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,267 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.