Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2997
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 2997 · RSW → MDW
departs 12:27 PM ET · arrives 2:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.