Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3087
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 3087 · MSY → AUS
departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.