Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 312
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 312 · ECP → DAL
departs 5:31 PM CT · arrives 7:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 5%
Sun 11/1 3%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.