Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3131
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 3131 · MSY → MDW
departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 8:20 PM CT
Your aircraft is N9020R (B38M), coming in as WN 1393 from ATL: still at ATL, due off about 6:23 PM ET, 43 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 30%
Thu 11/5 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+64 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
93%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 102 min after the scheduled departure, about 89 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+64 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 102 min after the scheduled departure, about 89 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+57 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 102 min after the scheduled departure, about 89 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 90%.
+84 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
81%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.