Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 320
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 320 · HOU → MAF
departs 8:28 AM CT · arrives 10:04 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.53333 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.53333 mi Precip 1.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.