Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 3228 · PHX → DSM
departs 1:56 PM MT · arrives 6:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
DSM usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.71 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.