Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 3268 · ONT → LAS
departs 1:29 PM PT · arrives 2:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±11 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.