WN 3339 · SAN → MSY

departs 3:18 PM PT · arrives 8:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

MSY (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3339 · SAN → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?