Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3346 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:38 PM PT (1 H 31 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Friday, October 30 Today

WN 3346 · SFO → PHX

departs 3:53 PM PT · arrives 6:00 PM MT

Your aircraft is N946WN (B737), coming in as WN 576 from PHX: still at PHX, due off about 3:27 PM MT, 70 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from SFO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3346 · SFO → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?