WN 3364 · BNA → SRQ

departs 5:04 PM CT · arrives 8:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ SRQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3364 · BNA → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?