WN 3431 · MCO → SJU

departs 7:02 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM AT

Your aircraft is N8763L (B38M), coming in as WN 3057 from MKE: landed 6:24 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3431 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?