Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3446 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

WN 3446 · MSY → STL

departs 2:19 PM CT · arrives 4:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3446 · MSY → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?