WN 3572 · RDU → STL

departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 9:19 PM CT

Your aircraft is N9024K (B38M), coming in as WN 2144 from BWI: landed 7:41 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3572 · RDU → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?