Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 364
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 364 · AUS → MCI
departs 2:24 PM CT · arrives 4:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.