Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 3700 · SAT → BNA
departs 4:39 PM CT · arrives 7:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 433 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 433 ft
Visibility 4.66667 mi
Precip 0.14 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.