Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 3975 · DAL → MCI
departs 5:57 AM CT · arrives 7:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 3%
Thu 10/29 5%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 7%
Sun 11/1 7%
Mon 11/2 12%
Tue 11/3 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
5am departures from DAL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.