Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4248
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 4248 · AMA → DAL
departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 3:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at AMA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
AMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.85 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.